Seller's Market
→ StableArdenwood, Fremont Market Update
Ardenwood favors sellers, but smart buyers can still win. Here's the picture:
- Homes go pending in about 13 days — move quickly or you'll miss out
- Selling 3% above asking — budget above list price to compete
- Monthly payment: $8,206 at 6.37% (20% down on a $1.65M median home)
- Ardenwood pricing is near the Fremont city-wide median ($1.65M vs. $1.46M)
Conditions are holding steady. What you see now is likely what you'll see next month.
Median Sale Price
$1.65M
▲ 12.9% YoY
20 sold this month
Up $188K from last year
Days on Market
13 days
▼ -2d YoY
Homes sell in a week or two
Sale-to-List Ratio
103.2%
▲ from 102.9%
Selling 3% above asking
Active Inventory
8
Very low — limited options for buyers
Sold Above List
60%
▼ -3pp YoY
More than half sell above asking
Price Drops
—
Sellers rarely reduce their price
Off Market in 2 Wks
71%
▲ 12pp YoY
7 in 10 go pending within 2 weeks
Monthly Payment
$8,206
— 6.37% · 30yr fixed
Principal & interest only on a 20% down $1.65M home. Add ~30–40% for property taxes, insurance, and HOA.
30-yr Fixed6.37%
15-yr Fixed5.74%
A 1% rate drop would save ~$841/mo on the median Ardenwood home. Your actual rate depends on your credit, down payment, and loan type.Ardenwood Trends
Median Sale Price
Up 12.9% year-over-year in Ardenwood.
What You'd Actually Pay Per Month
Monthly cost is up 4% year-over-year in Ardenwood.
Melanie Tan
8 Blocks Real Estate · DRE #02014153
“I know Ardenwoodwell. Let me help you understand what the numbers mean for your specific situation.”
Let's talk about Ardenwood
Market data: Redfin Data Center · Rates: FRED / Federal Reserve · Updated weekly · Data through Feb 2026
© 2026Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · DRE #02014153
© 2026Melanie Tan, 8 Blocks Real Estate · DRE #02014153